Showing posts with label budget. Show all posts
Showing posts with label budget. Show all posts

Saturday, 26 March 2011

The missed opportunities of George Osborne’s budget

The missed opportunities of George Osborne’s budget
Rory Meakin  •  2020 Tax Commission  •  Friday 25 March 2011

George Osborne delivered some good news in Wednesday’s Budget. He stated the Government’s intention to simplify taxes, introduced surprise 1p cuts in both Corporation Tax and Fuel Duty and he reaffirmed the Government’s commitment to macroeconomic stability and the fiscal policy tightening programme outlined in the June Emergency Budget. Reviews into the treatment of profits of ‘Controlled Foreign Companies’ and a promised shake up of Britain’s enterprise-asphyxiating planning system also offer a basis for some optimism. But despite these measures and their accompanying nasty surprises (see our post budget briefing), the overriding impression was that it was a budget of missed opportunities.

Cutting Corporation Tax by 2 per cent instead of the planned 1 per cent from April was a surprise, but it was not enough. OECD data shows 10 out of its 28 members already have rates at 24 per cent or lower. Cutting our rate to 26 per cent will not do enough to tempt business to Britain or encourage new start-ups and growth of indigenous companies. The Chancellor should have cut it more aggressively.

Missing opportunities...

Likewise, sticking to the already announced plan to raise the Personal Allowance by £1,000 (to £7,475) will help but it’s not nearly enough. People on low incomes and those on benefits with the prospect of a job with relatively low pay are heavily disincentivised by both taxation and benefit withdrawal from making the most of available opportunities. As we’ve pointed out, £10,000 by the end of the Parliament is not the same and will be worth much less than the pledge in the Liberal Democrat manifesto.  For the sake of both reducing the welfare bill and the lives of those on low incomes, the Government should move more quickly.

On the 50p top rate of income tax, ordering an investigation into how much it actually raises is a good idea but we already have a good idea of the answer. The evidence is already overwhelming: independent forecasters expect the measure to raise negligible amounts or lose significant amounts of money. The fragile recovery and the pressing need to close the budget deficit both mean the Government should have abolished the 50p rate immediately.

Finally, George Osborne was not bold enough on tax simplification. We welcome the move to hold a review into reform of Income Tax and National Insurance, but George Osborne should not have said he does not plan to abolish the contributory principle. It is already close to meaningless in light of the proposed pension reforms and the Government should do the humane thing and kill it off once and for all. It is hard to see how any serious simplification of the system could be implemented without doing so.  In terms of the immediate proposals in the Budget, as I pointed out in the TPA briefing document, there was as much complication as there was simplification.


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Friday, 25 March 2011

THE BUDGET

New inflation index means less take home pay
Chancellor cuts fuel duty by 1p
Tax threshold increases to £8,105, saving 25million workers £326 a year
Corporation tax cut by 2p as part of pro-business measures
Margaret Thatcher's low-tax 'enterprise zones' revived
Air passenger duty rise delayed until 2012
Labour's 50p rate of income tax to be reviewed
Tax on a pint of beer up 4pIn a dramatic final flourish to his 56-minute speech, the Chancellor announced a surprise £2billion-a-year windfall raid on oil giants.

             From the Daily Mail which gives a better non-technical round up than anybody else and has thuis very good graphic which shows how deep in debt we are in that though the borrowing is still out of control at £120 million it is barely triple what we annually repay from previous borrowing.

And there will be £2 billion put into subsidising a "Green bank" but not for several years.

     Comparing with my proposed 23 points needed for Cameron's proposed "relentless" pursuit of growth I get the impression of almost all the movement being in the right direction, but not very far, which is a massive improvement on previous experience. The "almost" being the Green bank which is a sop to the LudFims and won''t cost anything for years.

     I would like to have seen more cuts in spending funding a bigger cut in corporation tax - 23p may be lower than most of Europe and the US but is still high compared to Ireland's 12%. I would like to have seen far more cuts in regulation evetywhere not just in Enterprise Zones. I would like to have seen a major action to stop the state preventing house building rather than a fairly minor pressure on councils.I would have liked to see active support, through X-Prizes, for space development rather than just the decision that it will now cease to be illegal. I would have liked to see something about actively allowing us to have cheap, nuclear, power but Osborne has no control of that - it is in the hands of the Pseudoliberal Luddite Chris Huhne.

      I suspect George Osborne would too. This is close to as good as one can expect in the circumstances.

S The Scottish government will get another £70 million annually out of this. They are not required to put through a number of these cahnges but would be well advised to. Looking at Newsnight Scotland yesterday where the complaint was made several times that this won't help Scotland, particularly if we don't actually do the same as Westminster, it is more likely the Scottish politicians will continue messing up and complaining that it must be the English's fault that somebody has made a mess.

I have previously blogged on how well Scotland could do by adopting Enterprise Zones in a big way. With Osborne adopting them it would clearly be possible to do so. Because Scotland has far more land per person we could do my "Enterprise Zone on steroids" plan without stepping on people's toes.

Labels: British politics, economic growth, Fixing the economy



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Thursday, 24 March 2011

Budget Day Winners and Losers

Winners:

Job providing corporations.Internet Service Providers.Business start-ups in northern cities.Sheffield and the “Nick Clegg Memorial Enterprise Zone”.Motorists.Scientists.Local councillors and their £100m to spend on potholes.Charities – 10% death tax cut if money is given away.

Losers:

Smokers.Private jet users.Tax avoiders.Councils and their frozen tax.Nondoms.Tree huggers – green belt planning permission up for auction.Sleepy Ken Clarke.George Osborne’s throat.Whoever came up with last year’s growth figures.Ed Miliband’s press team who sent the speech out before Red Ed had floundered through it with whole sections changed.

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Budget 2011 - another attack on smokers and drinkers

Today, the Chancellor George Osborne delivered his second budget - and used it as an opportunity to hike taxes on drinkers and smkers. According to Big Brother Watch's calculations, since 1999 tax on a pint of beer has increased 57%. The levy imposed on a 20 pack of cigarettes has gone up 54%. Someone drinking 7 pints of beer a week is paying around £58 a year more than they did in 1999, while the cost of smoking a 20-pack of cigarettes each day has increased by around £327. Drinking beer and smoking cigarettes is a matter of basic personal...

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Tuesday, 22 March 2011

Budget Deficits and Foreign Policy

03/21/11 Baltimore, Maryland – There are things that are “seen”… and those that are “not seen.”

Seen:

Tank on Fire in Libya

Saturday, on the eighth anniversary of the invasion of Iraq, the United States opened up a third front in the “Forever War.” US, British and French warplanes carried out air strikes to enforce a “no-fly zone” over Libya.

When George H.W. Bush established a no-fly zone over parts of Iraq after the 1991 Gulf War, it was enforced with routine bombing for 12 years until his son ‘W’ sent in ground forces.

What, we ask with all the feigned interest we can muster, is the endgame in Libya? A cease-fire in their nascent civil war? “Regime change”? Oil exports diverted from their destinations in Europe and China…?

Does it matter?

“Circumstances will drive where this goes,” says Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. And because “circumstances” have a funny way of getting out of hand, oil is again within a couple bucks of the high it set two weeks ago.

Precious metals are reacting too. Gold is up to $1,431. Silver is a nickel away from $36.

Not seen: “With whopping budget deficits of more than $1 trillion per year, a national debt of more than $14 trillion, and the US military already overstretched by two drawn-out occupations,” muses foreign policy analyst Ivan Eland, “one would think some sort of ‘Vietnam Syndrome’ would have set in.”

Not so.

“Traditionally, the foreign policy elites of declining empires have never accepted the need to retrench overseas before it was too late.”

And so it goes.

Addison Wiggin
for The Daily Reckoning

Author Image for Addison Wiggin

Addison Wiggin is the editorial director of The Daily Reckoning, and executive publisher of Agora Financial, an independent financial research firm based in Baltimore, Maryland. His second editions of international best-sellers Financial Reckoning Day Fallout and The New Empire of Debt, which he co-authored with Bill Bonner, were updated in 2009. His third book, The Demise of the Dollar… and Why it’s Even Better for Your Investments was updated in 2008, the same year he wrote I.O.U.S.A.  ??

Wiggin is the executive producer and co-writer of I.O.U.S.A. an acclaimed documentary nominated for the Grand Jury prize at the 2008 Sundance Film Festival and the 2009 Critics Choice Award and shortlisted for a 2009 Academy Award. Wiggin is a three-time New York Times best-selling author whose work has been recognized by The New York Times Magazine, The Economist, Worth, The New York Times, The Washington Post as well as major network news programs. 

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Thursday, 17 March 2011

Budget whispers

Budget whispers
John O'Connell  •  2020 Tax Commission  •  Thursday 17 March 2011

Jo Johnson writes in today’s Financial Times (£) about the disaster of high taxes in the United Kingdom. He points to a KPMG survey that showed the UK has the 4th highest top rate of income tax of 86 countries – beaten only by Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands. Johnson also mentions a World Economic Global Competitiveness Report – which looks at the tax system to assess incentives to work and invest – that placed the UK 95th out of 135 countries. Our tax system hinders competitiveness.

Interestingly, he notes that Sir Nicholas Macpherson, permanent secretary to the Treasury, disclosed that 63,000 out of 275,000 taxpayers liable for the top rate work in “financial intermediation” in a letter to the Public Accounts Committee. Many of the others, Johnson notes, are entrepreneurs we need to create jobs and help drive the recovery. Unsurprisingly, numbers from the Treasury finally confirm the tax politically deployed to sate public anger of ‘bankers’ is misguided.

Benedict Brogan at the Telegraph notes that George Osborne might “put down a marker” on the 50p rate at the Budget next week. It should make for interesting viewing.


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Friday, 11 March 2011

The Generational Budget Gap

leadimage

03/10/11 Baltimore, Maryland – Stocks were flat yesterday. Gold was flattish. Oil was flat.

Everything was flat. Nothing much happened, as near as we can tell.

So, let’s turn our attention elsewhere. To greedy old people, for example.

Here’s a letter that appeared in The Financial Times on Saturday:

“I have recently returned from the first leg of a world cruise. Many of the elderly passengers were on their way around the world at a cost, for a couple, of between [$75,000] and [$140,000] and I met several who were on their third of fourth such voyage. This at a time when their grandchildren or great grandchildren may be struggling to pay university tuition fees…and later to find a deposit for a house…

“It is time for the elderly to step up to the plate to support the younger generation.”

In America, each generation is expected to make it on its own. At least that is the idea. So, old people think they are quite within their rights to spend all their money themselves, leaving little for their heirs to inherit. They do not see themselves as selfish. Many even think they are doing the next generation a favor – protecting them from sloth and dependence.

They go around with T-shirts that say, “I’m spending my kids’ inheritance.” Instead of taking care of grandchildren or helping their sons and daughters with the family enterprise, they retire to Florida, organizing their financial lives so their money lasts not a minute longer than they do. They grow old and lame – and then expect special parking places. They spend their time playing golf, watching daytime TV or pressuring their elected representatives to give them even more benefits.

The old have not merely abandoned the young to their own fate – they have stabbed them in the back. It’s bad enough that they use up all their own money. But they don’t stop there. They spend other peoples’ money too. And then they spend money that hasn’t even been earned yet.

The biggest items in the budget – Social Security and Medicaid – benefit the graybeards, not the young. And the budget is so far out of whack that for every dollar of tax revenue, the feds spend $1.70. That is to say, they add 70 cents that will have to be paid sometime in the future…most likely, by their own sons, daughters and grandchildren.

How lucky the next generation is! If a lack of money breeds tough self-reliance, the young in America must be the toughest generation ever. They not only have to pay their own way in the world, they’re also expected to shoulder a debt burden that would break Atlas’s back. Their parents and grandparents bequeath them public debt and unfunded obligations of more than $200 trillion, according to Professor Laurence Kotlikoff’s estimate.

Forbes publishes a list of the world’s richest people. Who would it put on its list of the world’s poorest? Surely, America’s young people would lead the rankings. Each one is shackled to a ball and chain of debt – hammered into place by an older generation – before he even begins to compete.

It hardly seems fair.

Economist Robert Samuelson, writing in Newsweek, shares our opinion:

“Whether our elected politicians will take back government from AARP, the 40-million-member organization representing retirees and near retirees,” – that’s the big question for the 2012 budget debate. Obama’s budget proposals left Social Security and Medicaid untouched. Why? The greedy old geezers vote.

Those programs have become a form of “middle class welfare,” says Samuelson; they must be cut.

Here at The Daily Reckoning, we do not believe in trying to change the course of history. We are not world improvers. Still, we do our damnedest to improve our own lives.

About two years ago, we began to think seriously about what to do with our own money. What was the plan? Spend it? Save it? Forget about it…and hope for the best?

But what was the plan for the children? What would become of them if something happened to your Daily Reckoning editor? Would they be able to “make it” on their own? What if something went wrong? Should they depend on the charity of the state…or the planning of their own father?

It was about that time that we discovered the concept of the “Family Office.” Poor people have food stamps and bail bonds. The middle class has Social Security and Medicaid. The rich people have family offices.

We’re not talking about people who win the lottery or a million-dollar contract to play football. We’re talking about people who make their money the old-fashioned way and try to keep it in the family, often for several generations. They treat their money differently. They see it as an heirloom, to be passed along, not used up.

Just because people are rich doesn’t mean they are stupid. Old money must have its secrets…its tricks…its wisdom too.

Not that we know what they are. We had no old money in our family. We inherited a few banged up pieces of furniture from our mother…who inherited them from her father. That was it. What money we have now is so new the ink isn’t even dry yet. But should we spend it all ourselves? Should we retire to Florida too…and wish the family “good luck”?

No. We decided to share…to prepare…to work together…to involve the whole family in our financial life – with trusts, an investment committee, a family constitution, budget goals, and everything else the family office guidebooks recommend. We decided to burden the children with the fruits of our own lives. The children are supposed to join in our key financial decisions, help manage family property, and partake in the family business. They’re meant to help preserve and enhance the family wealth – such as it is.

Don’t get the wrong idea. We’re not taking the high road. We never like the high road; it makes us a little queasy. Besides, we don’t like the high life much either. Spend our time playing golf? Fishing? Cruising around the world? Doesn’t sound like much fun. And we have no interest in fancy cars or expensive clothes. We drive a Ford pick-up and wear what we get for Christmas.

So, we’ve taken a different route. To us, it is more interesting, exciting and challenging. And there’s much less traffic.

“I know what you’re up to,” said son Jules, 23, shrewdly, “you’re just drawing us into your problems…putting them on our backs. I don’t have time for this… I’ve got my own life to lead.”

Hmmm. We haven’t actually succeeded at this yet. We’re just getting started. Check back in 20 years. We’ll let you know how it turns out.

Regards,

Bill Bonner
for The Daily Reckoning

Author Image for Bill Bonner

Since founding Agora Inc. in 1979, Bill Bonner has found success and garnered camaraderie in numerous communities and industries. A man of many talents, his entrepreneurial savvy, unique writings, philanthropic undertakings, and preservationist activities have all been recognized and awarded by some of America's most respected authorities. Along with Addison Wiggin, his friend and colleague, Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. Both works have been critically acclaimed internationally. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind The Daily Reckoning

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Wednesday, 9 March 2011

+ + + Unconfirmed : Brown to Speak in Budget Debate + + +


There is a rumour going round Westminster that the deficit-denier-in-chief will descend from Kirkcaldy to speak in the budget debate. No doubt he will wish to offer his support to the Eds, they are after all his political sons.


That loud braying sound you can hear in Westminster is the sound of cheering emanating from the Treasury…


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+ + + Unconfirmed : Brown to Speak in Budget Debate + + +


There is a rumour going round Westminster that the deficit-denier-in-chief will descend from Kirkcaldy to speak in the budget debate. No doubt he will wish to offer his support to the Eds, they are after all his political sons.


That loud braying sound you can hear in Westminster is the sound of cheering emanating from the Treasury…


View the original article here