Showing posts with label Buying. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Buying. Show all posts

Wednesday, 30 March 2011

Buying Silver and Avoiding the Sharks

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03/29/11 Tampa, Florida – I keep pounding, pounding, pounding the table that silver is the biggest bargain out there, for, at last count, a jillion reasons, and that anybody who does not buy silver Right Freaking Now (RFN) is making the mistake of a lifetime, and the family is all, like, “Will you please stop pounding the table? It is irritating and is making things spill, aside from the fact that we don’t have any money with which to buy silver, and you know that!” which devolved into a lengthy discussion about who among them was the most irritated with me and everything I say or do.

So, to make these idiots happy, I stopped pounding, losing a lot of my spark of emphasis in the process.  It just wasn’t the same, and my breakfast cereal was getting soggy, too, so without using my trademark pounding to buttress my arguments, I decided to just let Jason Hommel, of the Silver Stock Report newsletter, highlight my “Buy silver or you are a moron!” theme with notices of a few serious delivery problems in the silver market, indicating shortages, to which he surmises that “the futures market is about to default on silver and gold deliveries. There is a growing market awareness that the banks have sold short over $200 billion to $400 billion in silver, while all the world’s silver mines only produce about $30 billion of silver annually.”

The lesson seems to be that there is shark-infested water everywhere, and “Market participants are now taking on the cornered banks, putting them into an epic short squeeze of having to deliver silver that does not exist in quantity even remotely compared to the amount of money that exists that can buy silver.”

Now, as a cynical, paranoid ordinary trader/investor kind of guy who has been around long enough to have been eaten by financial sharks a few times, I am sure that they exist, and even today, baby sharks nibble at me, eating me, bite by bite, taking 1.5% of assets in fees and expenses every freaking year!

On the other hand, I never thought that I could be on the side of the sharks, and prove that “what goes around comes around” to my advantage, for a change!

And the good news from a “buy silver and prosper from inflation, Pilgrim!” standpoint, inflation and money-inspired growth ain’t a-gonna stop, neither, as I was reading a Bloomberg.com article that brought up the Federal Reserve perhaps ending their long series of monetary stimulus programs one day soon.

It ain’t a-gonna be, because but “While the Fed hasn’t committed to the specific methods it will use to exit, or in what order, it has been releasing details about its progress in building new programs and expanding its ability to drain reserves.”

Making a little joke of this, I note that this is, of course, akin to the fire department buying fire extinguishers instead of putting out the fire, so that in the future, if they do decide to put out the fire, they will be able to put out the fire! Hahaha!

Of course, I know this is not a fair analogy, and it’s not very funny, either, despite my pathetic use of “Hahaha!” to try and convince you otherwise.

To try to correct that serious shortcoming, and to perhaps make it more apt, let me expand to say that first the volunteer firefighters would have to set a lot of houses on fire so that there would be both a demand for a permanent fire department paying high incomes to full-time employees, and there would be a big need for new housing to replace all the charred rubble, both seemingly stimulating the economy, but, alas, as the Austrian School of economics shows, not, although they end up accumulating a lot of fire extinguishers.

Okay, I can see that it’s more apt, but still not funny, and getting un-funnier all the time, a deplorable condition that will undoubtedly be made worse when I continue to expand the analogy to the corrupt city council counterfeiting money to pay the firefighters and themselves, and pay for that spiffy new firehouse and City Hall, and pay for all that shiny new government gear and programs, thus creating a continual addition of money to the economy that drives prices up, drives the riffraff like me out, and drives the economy into the toilet.

With a start, I recoiled in horror, showing what a wussy coward I am about inflation, as the analogy became all too frightening when it included the inflation in prices that an inflation in the money supply brings!

That was, however, not the actual part that made my eyes open wide and the skin on my head draw back in fear, although I must warn you that it doesn’t look that way when it happens, as I ruefully noted when the kids said to each other “Hey, look! Dad’s ears are wiggling!”

This, of course, started the predictable domino effect from, “Why do you need ears when you never hear anything we say?”, to “We keep saying that we need you to give us more money!”, to “You’re a cheap, horrible person!”, to “I hate you! I hate you! I hate you!”

No, the part that really, really REALLY scared me was when the Journal followed that up with the sentence “This includes increasing the number of its counterparties.” Gaaaahhhh!

It’s the idea of derivatives all over again!  “Spreading the risk”! Yikes! Run for it! We’re Freaking Doomed (WFD)!

If you are NOT running in fear, then you are either stupid (and thus you cannot learn that you should be buying gold and silver when the Federal Reserve is creating so monstrously much money) or it means that you are smart (and thus you already have a lot of gold and silver).

It’s just that easy to distinguish between the two! Whee!

The Mogambo Guru
for The Daily Reckoning

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Richard Daughty (Mogambo Guru) is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the writer/publisher of the Mogambo Guru economic newsletter, an avocational exercise to better heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it. The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron's, The Daily Reckoning , and other fine publications.

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Tuesday, 29 March 2011

Buying Silver to Combat the Vampire Craze

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03/28/11 Tampa, Florida – Dominic Frisby of Money Morning newsletter quotes Nick Laird of Sharelynx as saying that the situation in silver is such that “since 1950, almost 925,000 tonnes have gone into demand with 570,000 tonnes of this having come from production. This leaves a shortfall of 350,000 tonnes, which has come from central bank sales, stockpiles and scrap. This deficit equals approximately 16 years of production.”

Even more surprisingly, as statistics go, the deficit in silver “is equal to the entire global production of silver in 1982!” which you’ll notice is already punctuated with an exclamation point, as everybody can see the exceptional, startling, scary nature of the statistic!

Jeff Clark, in his essay “How Much More Demand Can Silver Handle?” here at The Daily Reckoning, notes that “The numbers for silver demand are starting to make some market-watchers nervous. The US Mint sold over 6.4 million silver Eagles in January, more than any other month since the coin’s introduction in 1986.”

Well, playing the devil’s advocate, I say that “Maybe it’s because economic things are worse than at anytime since 1986, and there are so many more vampire-related things in the popular media than there were in 1986, so it is only natural to expect more people to be buying silver!”

Mr. Clark, obviously having been instructed to ignore me, ignores me, and goes on to trump my stupid theory with the awesome fact that “China’s net imports of silver quadrupled in 2010, to 122.6 million ounces, roughly 13.7% of global production.”

Already “mine production can’t meet worldwide demand,” and since I never hear of central banks dis-hoarding silver, nor of any stockpiles of silver being drawn down, maybe that is why he says, “the only way demand gets fulfilled is from scrap supply.”

As to what this means in precise dollars and cents, I don’t know, but he may be giving us a hint when he reminds us to “Remember that silver rose over 3,646% from trough to peak in the last precious metals bull market; it’s up about 630% in our current run. A return matching the 1970s advance would push the price to $152.”

From $33 an ounce to $152 an ounce? Wow! That seems like investing at its best, while the truth is that the gains in silver just get better from there, because the evil Federal Reserve is going to keep creating more and more money from there, which explains why I was spending more and more time alone in the Mogambo Big, Bad Bunker (MBBB) a few weeks ago, nervously watching the Federal Reserve creating another $28 billion in credit, which means that the Fed is creating more inflation in prices, which means that the time when people get desperate is not far away.

And this $28 billion in bank credit turned, seemingly magically but actually just a coincidental accounting thing, into $26 billion in cash with which to buy $26 billion in government debt! All in One Freaking Week (OFW)! Astounding!

The reason I bring this up is because it means, We’re Freaking Doomed (WFD) to die a horrible, horrible economic death because of inflation in prices that must necessarily result from all this creation of new money, which is obvious once you strip away all the confusing jargon, acres of spreadsheets and idiot editors rejecting your work with caustic comments like, “Utter trash” and, “Thank you for your recent submission. However, we have no present need for worthless ramblings of a paranoid lunatic.”

Paranoid lunatic, eh? Ha! Sharp Junior Mogambo Rangers (JMRs) are instantly on alert at a “dog that didn’t bark” – as in this case the sentence fragment “to die a horrible, horrible economic death because of inflation in prices that must necessarily result from all this creation of new money” did not end with an exclamation point, or two, or three, as would seem to be indicated.

The reason is that the long-forecasted inflation, which the use of an exclamation point would indicate as an impending calamity, is not only impending, but it is here, which does merit an exclamation point thusly!

I involuntarily looked around the bunker in a kind of scared paranoia when I read The 5-Minute Forecast boiling it down to, “Wholesale prices jumped 0.8% in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Producer Price Index has now jumped 3% over the last four months. And no, that’s not an annualized figure.”

Suddenly feeling nervous and paranoid again, The 5 continues, “Note that the PPI headline number is for ‘finished goods’ – stuff that’s ready to be sold direct to consumers. In the category of ‘crude goods,’ the figures are far worse – up 3.3% in January, and up a staggering 15.8% over the last four months.”

This is the ugly start of the price inflation horror that results from the horror of the Federal Reserve creating so excessively much money, and if ever there were a clearer signal to buy gold and silver with the last of your Federal Reserve Note money, I never heard of it.

And I am a guy who has heard many, many things over his lifetime that will curl your hair, or, if already curled, straighten, and I am not even talking about any of that REALLY scary stuff about genetic mutants being manufactured for the Pentagon (which is under control of UFOs from outer space) that are computer-controlled and can shoot laser beams (“zzzzt!”) out of their eyes.

And if that last stuff turns out to be true, too, then it will be just one more reason, on top of the other thousands of reasons, to buy gold, silver and oil, and which would perhaps add just that little bit extra jollity to your jaunty step as you realize, as you walk along, “Whee! This investing stuff is easy!”

The Mogambo Guru
for The Daily Reckoning

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Richard Daughty (Mogambo Guru) is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the writer/publisher of the Mogambo Guru economic newsletter, an avocational exercise to better heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it. The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron's, The Daily Reckoning , and other fine publications.

View articles by The Mogambo Guru

The articles and commentary featured on the Daily Reckoning are presented by Agora Financial.
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Institutional Investors Are Buying & Rightly So

No doubt this is an equity market that wants to go higher. The market is due for a correction; it just experienced a small consolidation; but no matter what the economic analysis, institutional investors are buying. They are buyers right now because the earnings outlook is great, interest rates are low, and there isn’t anything else to invest in that has above-average return potential.


No doubt this is an equity market that wants to go higher. The market is due for a correction; it just experienced a small consolidation; but no matter what the economic analysis, institutional investors are buying. They are buyers right now because the earnings outlook is great, interest rates are low, and there isn’t anything else to invest in that has above-average return potential.


The S&P 500 Index seems to have broken through the 1,300 level, which has been a barrier for a while (though it could still retreat). With the number of earnings preannouncements low, 1,500 seems to me like a cakewalk for the index. My money is on rising stock prices, not the other way around.


The good news is that, even at 1,500, the S&P 500 Index won’t be expensively priced. I would say it would be fairly valued and this bodes well for the rest of the year. As we’ve seen recently, the economic data aren’t uniform. Revised fourth-quarter gross domestic product numbers were solid, yet February orders for durable goods were below expectations. I think this mixed trend in economic news will be with us for quite a while. I don’t see us having runaway economic growth anytime soon and, while things may be slow at the Main Street level, Wall Street will continue to bet on a brighter future. The present doesn’t matter on Wall Street—only the past and the future.


Stock picking in this market is also a choppy affair and, just like with the economic news of the day, some companies are doing better than others. It’s difficult to imagine an across-the-board acceleration in business conditions. As an investor, you really need a basket of special situation stocks in order to beat the market.


As we’ve been saying consistently for a number of years now, investing in gold remains a good idea, even if you’re a new investor. A number of smaller gold mining companies recently saw their stock prices accelerate significantly after reporting excellent financial growth in the fourth quarter. While the returns might be incremental, as so many gold stocks have already gone up, there is still plenty of good trading action in this sector if you like to speculate in gold shares. I still wouldn’t have a balanced equity portfolio without holding at least one gold producer. Global capital markets continue to be behind gold not only as an investment, but increasingly, as a store of value over some currencies as well.


The best stock picker I follow, Jim Rogers, figures that a correction is probable in stocks and commodities. But he always adds that, when it happens, it will be a good buying opportunity. He figures the commodity price cycle has another 15 years or more to play out.

Mitchell is a Senior Editor at Lombardi Financial specializing in small-cap stocks. He’s the editor of a variety of popular Lombardi Financial newsletters, such as Penny Stock Reporter, Micro-Cap Stocks, and Monster Profits. Mitchell, who has been with Lombardi Financial for thirteen years, won the Jack Madden Prize in economic history and is a long-time student of equity markets. Prior to joining Lombardi, Mitchell was as a stock broker for a large investment bank. While Mitchell is not working he enjoys fly fishing, motorcycling and tending to his hobby farm.

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Monday, 21 March 2011

Secret Iran Gold Holdings Leaked: Tehran Holds Same Amount Of Gold As United Kingdom, And Is Buying More

While it will not come as a major surprise to most, according to senior BOE individuals and Wikileaks, Iran, as well as Qatar and Jordan have been actively purchasing gold well over the amount reported to and by the IMF, in an accelerated attempt to diversify their holdings away from the US dollar. "Iran has bought large amounts of gold in the international market, according to a senior Bank of England official, in a sign of how growing political pressure has driven Tehran to reduce its exposure to the US dollar. Andrew Bailey, head of banking at the Bank of England, told an American official that the central bank had observed “significant moves by Iran to purchase gold”, according to a US diplomatic cable obtained by WikiLeaks and seen by the Financial Times." The reason for Tehran's scramble into gold: "an attempt by Iran to protect its reserves from risk of seizure”. The misrepresentation of Iran's holdings could be so vast that Iran could possibly be one of the largest holders of goldin the world. "Market observers believe Tehran has been one of the biggest buyers of bullion over the past decade after China, Russia and India, and is among the 20 largest holders of gold reserves... with an alleged 300 tons, big enough to challenge the UK at 310 tons, and more than Spain! " As a reminder according to the WGC, Iran is not even disclosed as an official holder of gold. Also, Iran is not the only one: "Cables obtained by WikiLeaks cite Jordan’s prime minister as saying the central bank was “instructed to increase its holdings” of gold, and a Qatar Investment Authority official as saying the QIA was interested in buying gold and silver." Which means that there is far more marginal demand by countries supposedly friendly to the dollar, as many more than previously expected are actively dumping linen and buying bullion. What all this means for the future price of gold, especially with geopolitical tension in the region,  and QE3 imminent, is rather self-evident.

From the FT:

Andrew Bailey, head of banking at the Bank of England, told an American official that the central bank had observed “significant moves by Iran to purchase gold”, according to a US diplomatic cable obtained by WikiLeaks and seen by the Financial Times.

Mr Bailey said the gold buying “was an attempt by Iran to protect its reserves from risk of seizure”.

Market observers believe Tehran has been one of the biggest buyers of bullion over the past decade after China, Russia and India, and is among the 20 largest holders of gold reserves.

They estimate it holds more than 300 tonnes of gold, up from 168.4 tonnes in 1996, the date of the most recent International Monetary Fund data.

Ummm, according to the WGC the UK (thank you Gordon Brown) has 310 tons of gold... Iran has the same amount of gold in storage as the (formerly) biggest colonial power in the history of the world. And this is not breaking news?

The cable, dated June 2006, is the first official confirmation of Tehran’s buying. Last year central banks became net buyers of bullion after 22 years of large sales, helping drive gold prices to all-time nominal highs. Trades by central banks are often kept secret.

Bankers said other Middle Eastern countries had also been quietly adding to gold holdings to diversify away from the dollar amid political tensions and volatility in currency markets.

“The totality of central bank reserves is not what is reported to the IMF,” said Philip Klapwijk, executive chairman of GFMS, a precious metals consultancy. “There’s probably another 10 per cent on top of that.”

Cables obtained by WikiLeaks cite Jordan’s prime minister as saying the central bank was “instructed to increase its holdings” of gold, and a Qatar Investment Authority official as saying the QIA was interested in buying gold and silver.

“There is no question some Middle Eastern countries are very interested in buying gold,” said George Milling-Stanley, head of government affairs at the mining industry-backed World Gold Council.

Secret undisclosed purchases of physical gold... What next: secret undisclosed selling of paper gold by such unusual suspects as JPM? Unpossible.

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Wednesday, 16 March 2011

Panic Buying: Stocks Of Potassium Iodide Exhausted In U.S.

Paul Joseph Watson
Infowars.com
March 15, 2011


Panic Buying: Stocks Of Potassium Iodide Exhausted In U.S. 150311top1


We are getting numerous reports from readers that stocks of potassium iodide, which is used to protect the body against the effects of nuclear fallout, are completely sold out across the United States. Checks of health supplement websites in the U.S. also confirmed that stocks are completely exhausted.


With the threat of radioactive particles from the stricken Fukushima nuclear reactor complex drifting towards the United States on prevailing easterly winds, many Americans are attempting to protect themselves by acquiring potassium iodide, which protects the thyroid gland from radiation and cancer caused by radioactive iodine.


U.S. manufacturers of potassium iodide have been swamped with demand, reports CNN. One Williamsburg, Virginia-based company “Has received hundreds, if not thousands, of calls from potential buyers in Asia as well as repeat U.S. customers suddenly seeking to replenish their stockpiles of the drug.”

A d v e r t i s e m e n t

The U.S. government has said that it will not stockpile any further supplies of potassium iodide, which has only increased demand from Americans who are struggling to find it anywhere.


“The federal government has never purchased enough to meet that standard. There is currently only enough of the medication available for populations living within 10 miles of nuclear reactors in the United States, according to U.S. officials,” an amount Alan Morris, president of Anbex Inc, slams as being completely insufficient.


Morris points to the fact that the fallout from the April 1986 Chernobyl disaster, which was spread all around the northern hemisphere, led to over a million deaths because of radiation poisoning according to some estimates, causing thyroid cancer in children living in surrounding countries.


“U.S. drug stores are reporting a sudden increase in sales of over-the-counter anti-radiation pills, despite assurances from health officials that Americans are not at risk from Japanese nuclear reactors,” reports Fox News.


Some less than ethical private retailers are exploiting the shortages to charge nearly $300 for one pack of tablets, which normally retail at around the $15 level.


It is important to stress that high-strength potassium iodide of the 130 mg variety shown in the image above should only be taken in a nuclear fallout emergency and not under any other circumstances.


Watch a video simulation of how the Chernobyl radiation cloud affected the whole of Europe, causing governments to severely restrict cattle movements and food safety standards as far away as England and Wales.


Stock up with Fresh Food that lasts with eFoodsDirect (Ad)



Here are a couple of emails we received today;


I went to the Whole Foods Market in Arlington, Texas last night to get a bottle of kelp and they were out and totally out of potassium iodide. They would not get a shipment, if any, by this Friday.


Are people in this area more aware of what is going on in Japan than the people in Austin? I hope so.


Respectfully,


Doug


——————————-


Good Luck finding any Potassium Iodide in the United States! Went on the internet and contacted all manufacturers, suppliers, health food stores, etc. NO ONE HAS ANY!


Just says temporarily out of stock on all websites…..What little was available is gone and the earliest they expect it is sometime possibly next month or the following month! Iosat manufactured and distributed by Anbex Inc. doesn’t even have it available.Good God… how would we get it if we needed it now?


Think the Government is going to help get it to us? Don’t think so! No one is saying anything about this little problem!


Elaine



Paul Joseph Watson is the editor and writer for Prison Planet.com. He is the author of Order Out Of Chaos. Watson is also a fill-in host for The Alex Jones Show.


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Thursday, 10 March 2011

Buying Japanese Stocks as the Economic Slump Continues

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03/08/11 Baltimore, Maryland – Nothing much to report from the markets yesterday. The Dow was down 79 points. Gold rose $5.

So, let’s look across the wide Pacific…to the land that invented suicide bombing. Did we update you on our “Trade of the Decade”? We did? We thought so…

And here’s our old friend Marc Faber…with the same idea (or at least half of it.) Buy Japanese stocks, he says…

After a two-decade bear market, now is the time to buy and hold Japanese stocks, Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, said.

Faber, who is credited with predicting the 1987 stock market crash and said two years ago that shares would decline just as they began the biggest rally in more than 50 years, said the Japanese government will be forced to print money to monetize the country’s public debt, the developed world’s biggest. That will cause the yen to weaken, helping boost earnings for the nation’s exporters and buoying stock prices.

Faber joins other bullish investors on Japan, such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and David Herro of Oakmark International Fund, in countering skepticism about Japan earned through four recessions and dismal stock returns after the 1990 crash of the bubble economy. The Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average has fallen about 73 percent since it peaked in December 1989.

“If I had to make a bet for the next ten years in terms of equity markets, I would seriously consider a very strong weighting here in Japan,” Faber said yesterday at the CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets’ annual conference in Tokyo. “Once the debt market starts to go down, the yen will begin to weaken and that will lift equity prices. I would buy equities at the present time.”

But wait. What’s this?

Here’s Dennis Gartman with a nuance:

Japan is demographically and fiscally doomed. Her population is collapsing in size and growing elderly at the same time, while her fiscal circumstances are far and away the worst of the industrialized world. Japan has survived for decades in a strange world of fiscal irresponsibility by being able to sell her debt to her own people rather than to the rest of the world as the US can do and must.

Of course, this just supports our position. The Japanese soon will have a bitter choice. Either they abandon their whole silly economic model – with its eternal stimulus budgets and its perpetual zero interest rates. Or they print money. If they give up, it will bring on the final and devastating bottom of their 21-year slump. If they print money, on the other hand…they might hold off the disaster long enough to make it worse.

It is a bit like their situation after the Battle of Midway. Had they examined their situation carefully, they would have seen that the gods of war had gone over to the over side. They faced a superior adversary. And they were out of fuel. They needed control of the seas in order to re-supply; and they had just lost it.

What to do? They had a choice. They could have pulled back to the home island, begged forgiveness and negotiated a settlement. Instead, they soldiered on…in a long, hard, nasty retreat…and eventually turned to kamikaze pilots to try to save the day.

What choice will they make this time? Probably, they’ll print money. Inflation rates will rise. Japanese government bonds will collapse. And investors will try to protect themselves from inflation by buying stocks.

Bill Bonner
for The Daily Reckoning

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Since founding Agora Inc. in 1979, Bill Bonner has found success and garnered camaraderie in numerous communities and industries. A man of many talents, his entrepreneurial savvy, unique writings, philanthropic undertakings, and preservationist activities have all been recognized and awarded by some of America's most respected authorities. Along with Addison Wiggin, his friend and colleague, Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. Both works have been critically acclaimed internationally. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind The Daily Reckoning

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