Showing posts with label Views. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Views. Show all posts

Tuesday, 29 March 2011

Misguided Views of Libertarian Economics and the Alternative "Regulation" Model

One of the brightest regulars who comments on my blog has a totally distorted view of what Libertarian economics is all about. Unfortunately, I am quite confident that her view is mainstream.

Tin Hat writes ...

Here is the core premise behind libertarian economics:

The private business sector will put ethics, morality and public employee good above profits, shareholders, bonuses, golden parachutes and CEO compensation -- IF they were completely unfettered from any government imposed rules, laws, and regulations.

And IF the private sector entity failed in its fiduciary duty to the public, Main Street would rise up and kick them out.

That's Corporatism.

Regulation Model vs. the Libertarian Model

Sorry Tin Hat but that is not what Libertarian economics is all about or stands for at all.

First let's ponder the "Regulation" Model.

The "Regulation" model assumes Barney Frank (feel free to substitute your least favorite representative) will write responsible legislation and Congress will stop taking bribes for legislation they want.

Here are some examples of what the regulation models has wrought.

The regulation model sponsored Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.The regulation model gave huge tax breaks written by GE for GEThe regulation model encourages flight of jobs overseasThe regulation model supports corrupt public unions that have bankrupted cities and statesThe regulation model gave us the Fed and its bubble blowing policiesThe regulation model gave us thousands of affordable home programs all of which drove up the price of homesThe regulation model provides hundreds of billions of dollars of student loans the effect of which is to make those graduating from school now, perpetual debt slaves.The regulation model gave us a healthcare bill we literally "had to pass to find out what was in it" according to Nancy Pelosi. Congress did not write that bill, it was entirely written by a consortium of special interest lobbyists.
I can provide thousands of more examples of what the "regulation" model has given us.

The very best financial regulation will ever do is prevent the last crisis. However, we are not going to have another housing bubble for decades. At worst, and far more likely, new financial regulation is highly likely to sew the seeds of the next crisis.

Regulation sponsoring Moody, Fitch and the S&P did just that. So did thousands of affordable housing programs. So did the Community Reinvestment Act. So did sponsorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. So did HUD. So did thousands of financial loopholes. And most importantly so did the legislation that created the Fed and FDIC.

The legislation model has been disproved in spades yet otherwise intelligent people keep clamoring for more of it as if we could find, hire, and listen to some "all-knowing" super-regulator that can identify the next crisis in advance and write timely legislation that the likes of Barney Frank would deem wise and pass.

The idea is ludicrous given we cannot even get consensus about what to do after the housing bubble has already burst. Also bear in mind the Fed is supposed to regulate the economy. How well did that work out?

It's preposterous to believe that Congress can identify and appoint some sort of super-regulator because no such person exists in the first place.

Sure, many people identified the housing bubble in advance. I did, so did other bloggers and so did people like Elizabeth Warren.

What good did it do?

I am quite certain a huge number of bight people can identify the next crisis. Indeed they already have. Some people are calling for hyperinflation, some are calling for deflation, some are calling for stagflation, some think Japan will blow up, and others think peal oil will send oil prices to the moon. Some think printing money is a good idea, others don't.

Lots of people are going to be right because there are lots of people in every one of those camps, and one of them is guaranteed to happen. When one of them does, many people will say "I told you so".

So who do you want the Fed to believe?

I don't want the Fed to act on any of those calls because there should not be a Fed in the first place. The Fed failed as a regulator, again, and again, and again.

Libertarian Economic Model

The Libertarian model does not end all regulation. Indeed the basis of the Libertarian economic model is that we need to protect private property, prevent fraud, protect human rights, and give everyone an equal chance under the law.

Had we done that, and "just" that we would not be in this mess.

In the Libertarian model, Fannie Mae and Freddie mac would not have existed. Nor would there have been a Fed keeping interest rates too low, too long. Without the loose lending model of the Fed, and without banks being able to lend more money than they have, the housing securitization model that blew up would not have happened or if somehow it did, it would have been less problematic by orders of magnitude

In the Libertarian model, there would not have been government sponsorship of the rating agencies Moody's, Fitch, and the S&P.

In the Libertarian model the construct of "Too big to fail" does not exist. Indeed, allowing failure is one of the tenants of the Libertarian model.

Note that something like Glass-Steagall would work in the context of a Libertarian model because its purpose is to put a firewall to prevent fraud. Pollution laws would still be needed to protect private property. Child labor laws would still be needed to protect human rights. Public safety laws are fine. No one would be allowed to yell "fire" in a movie theater.

If you want to take that model and add some social safety nets, all but strict Libertarians might agree.

Failure of Regulation

All the corporatism, all the bank failures, the credit bubble, the housing bubble, and all the warmongering is a direct result "of" regulation that Libertarian economics has nothing to do with.

Indeed most of those those things could not happen in a Libertarian model. To the extent that any of them could happen, they would not occur to the same magnitude.

Libertarian Solution

The solution is to throw away all legislation except what is needed to protect private property, prevent fraud, protect human rights, and give everyone an equal chance under the law.

That means all tax breaks that favor GE as well as all tax breaks for homes, have to go. Tax code should not favor any group or thing. Drug imports from Canada would be allowed in this model and warmongering would stop. Subsidies to home builders would stop. Subsidies for ethanol would stop. In fact, subsidies for everything would stop.

Government would not be allowed to spend more than it takes in, banks would not be allowed to lend more money than they have ownership of, and the Fed would be abolished.

Instead, those in the regulation camp want to patch a million misguided pieces of legislation that should not even exist, and worst of all they expect Barney Frank to get it right.

One model has been tried and failed a million times. One model has never been tried.

Yet misguided souls want more of the model guaranteed to fail. Quite frankly it is preposterous.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
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Wednesday, 9 March 2011

Problems With the Prevailing Views of the Book of Revelation

As a young pastor just getting started, I was filled with ambition for the Lord and a desire to build a strong work. Naturally, as most preachers do eventually, I turned to Revelation since I knew that most people were instinctively interested in the prophetic book.

I began teaching a year long series of Bible Studies on this most fascinating book. I didn't really run into problems until I came to Revelation 4:1.

Revelation 4:1 -- After this I looked, and, behold, a door was opened in heaven: and the first voice which I heard was as it were of a trumpet talking with me; which said, Come up hither, and I will shew thee things which must be hereafter.

For most of my church life and, indeed, through my Bible college years, I was taught that this verse marked the Rapture in Revelation-as, undoubtedly, many who are reading this have been. Now, I happen to believe that all Scripture agrees, and that Scripture ought to back up Scripture. I didn't just want to gloss over the verse based on what I had always been taught. I wanted to back it up.

I wanted to prove it Biblically! But I could not.

I struggled...oh, how I struggled with this. I called pastor after pastor asking for their input, advice, material, and teachings as I sought additional scriptural proof that Revelation 4:1 was the rapture. The more I talked to people, the more confused I got. It seemed that nearly every preacher I talked to had a different idea of what the verses mean exactly. Many disagreed with each other which did not help me at all. I pointed out the verses that confused me, listened to their explanations and came away shaken at how often I felt even more confused than helped.

You see, there are basically FOUR Rapture positions that a person can take. They are:

Pre-Tribulation Rapture - The Rapture of the saints before the seven years of Tribulation.

Mid-Tribulation Rapture - The Rapture of saints halfway through the Tribulation period.

Post-Tribulation Rapture - The Rapture of saints after the seven years of Tribulation.

Preterist View - That all of Revelation has already occurred and that the Rapture is symbolic.

I found significant problems with all four of the prevailing beliefs!

Let me break down some of the problems that I had. An honest evaluation of these verses will reveal clearly the problem with ALL of the views. Some of the objections tend to point to one or the other of the prevailing beliefs, but when put to their rivals, I never got a satisfactory answer.

Objection #1 - The disciples asked Jesus three questions at the beginning of Matthew 24. The typical Pre-Trib belief says that these were answered in a different order than they were asked. If so, where, pray tell, did Jesus answer the first question about the destruction of the Temple? This question bothers all but the Post-Tribulation View.

Objection #2 - The verses that describe the Rapture in Matthew 24 are those between verses 29 and 51. Most agree on this. Why then does the 'Great Tribulation' appear in verse 21-before the Rapture? This seems to lend weight to the Post-Tribulation View.

Objection #3 - If the Rapture is described starting in Matthew 24:29, why then does it say, "Immediately following the tribulation of those days?" Even a cursory study of the scriptures tells us that the 'tribulation' of verse 29 is the same 'great tribulation' of verse 21. How can the rapture follow the Great Tribulation? Doesn't this give credence towards the Post-Tribulation View?

Objection #4 - Matthew 24:34 tells us that Jesus told His disciples that their generation will not pass until ALL these things were fulfilled. Doesn't this give credence more towards the Preterist View?

Objection #5 - If Revelation 4:1 is the Rapture why then does the sixth seal in Revelation 6:12-17 so closely parallel-almost word for word-the description of the Rapture in Matthew 24:29-51? Doesn't this lend credence to the Mid-Tribulation View?

Objection #6 - If the Rapture happens in Revelation 4:1, why then does Revelation 7:9-14 tell us of a multitude that no man could number that was saved out of the Great Tribulation? Does this not lend credence to the Mid-Tribulation View?

Objection #7 - Is it not true that several men of God have had similar experiences to John in Revelation 4:1? Men like Ezekiel who had the experience twice, Elijah was carried into heaven in a whirlwind, and the two witnesses in Revelation 11 had nearly identical experiences. Could not Revelation 11 (the two witnesses who are called up with a trumpet) be the Rapture of the saints? Would this not lend credence to the Mid-Tribulation Rapture view?

Objection #8 - If the Rapture happens midway through or after the Tribulation, why does God repeatedly warn us that we need to be ready for His coming-a coming that will be so unexpected, so quick, as a thief in the night? If we see signs of the Tribulation, then will we not know that the Lord's coming be soon? It can't be as a thief in the night when the thief tells you that he is coming in the next seven days, is it? Doesn't this lend credence to the Pre-Tribulation View?

Objection #9 - If the seals are part of the Tribulation, then why do the martyrs in the fifth seal believe that God has yet to begin the Tribulation of man? In fact they are told to wait for a season until more Christians are killed. Why do they think that the Tribulation has not yet started? Does this lend credence to the Preterist View?

Objection #10 - If the Tribulation is a time for God to show vengeance for a world that has rejected Him, His people, and His Word, why then would God allow the Christians to suffer through any part of that? Does not 1 Thessalonians 5:1-9 tell us that the Christians will have no part in the wrath mentioned-the Tribulation? Does not this lend credence to the Pre-Tribulation Rapture view?

These are just a few of my objections. I would raise one of these objections, listen to the counter argument and be amazed at how they twisted the scriptures to say other than the simple clear meaning of the verses. I was astounded, and extremely disappointed.

You may ask, "So, which one of the Views do you hold to?"

The answer, by the strict definition of each of the prevailing views, is: none of them!

Interestingly enough, there was a common thread between all the views: That the definition of 'The Tribulation' did indeed refer to the seven years of chaos mentioned in Revelation. When I realized that, I actually studied the term and discovered that the definition, Scripturally, is not accurate. According to Scripture the seven years mentioned in Revelation is more accurately called 'The Day of the Lord'. It seems that in all but two or three instances, the term 'tribulation' is applied to Jews and Christians, including all five instances in the book of Revelation itself.

Studying prophecy with the understanding of these views Biblically changed my entire view of Revelation. It actually became easy to study. Things were in order. Things made a whole lot more sense. I challenge you to study prophecy by first making sure in your own mind that these terms, 'The Tribulation' and 'The Day of the Lord' are accurate according to Scripture.








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