Saturday, 10 March 2012

The Armageddonomics of Rich Santorum

 

Friends,
Today is Super Tuesday. A few hours from now the polls will open in Republican state primaries held in Georgia, Massachusetts, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Vermont. Caucuses will be held in Alaska, Idaho and Wyoming. I have stated consistently in my predictions here in these blogs and in Predictions for 2012 that Mitt Romney on Super Tuesday crosses a milestone in his run to be the Republican nominee for president. Romney will gain enough delegates to keep ahead and never look back at his competitors, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, even if the contest continues to be close right up through the last primaries at the end of June.

There will be no brokered convention in Tampa Bay, Florida, at the end of August.

However…

I must also warn you all yet again that I find picking the Republican candidate running against incumbent President Barack Obama a most difficult prescient challenge. The reason is, my “oracle” picks winners and does not much care about the losers. It has chosen the man who will win by popular vote 11 times out of 11 attempts since 1968.

This year, I am trying to break through the veil forecasting who will be the “biggest loser” – that is, the Republican candidate who wins the chance to lose in November, when Obama is elected for a second term by a minimum of 8.5 percent of the popular vote.

Do not cry “foul”, Republican readers. Not at me. Not at someone who has successfully picked seven out of 11 elections in favor of the Republican candidate winning by popular vote. If one is going to be an accurate forecaster one will not let the messenger stand in the way of the message, even if the outcome goes against for whom even the messenger casts his ballot.

continue: http://www.hogueprophecy.com/2012/03/the-armageddonomics-of-rich-santorum-2/

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